Quarterback is the most important position on a football field, bearing the most responsibility and handling more moving pieces than is asked of anyone else. This makes them incredibly difficult to evaluate as evaluators must equally handle all the moving pieces that make up their scouting report. Additionally, there is very little in the way of a "stable metric" that directly correlates to NFL success. The closest thing we DO have to this, however, is accuracy.
The 2027 QB class is a crap shoot outside of Dante Moore and Arch Manning, and even among those two there is a vast discrepancy in raw/weighted accuracy numbers. This article operates as a one-stop-shop for gathering an understanding of who the most accurate QBs in college football are, as well as displaying why accuracy, while important, is not the only thing that matters for a QB prospect. I myself was surprised by where some of these guys landed on this list, but it just goes to show that what makes somebody like Arch Manning a great QB prospect has less to do with where he is now as a pure pocket passer, but with where his unique blend of traits and physical tools lead us to believe he could end up.
I'll quickly discuss my methodology for determining what's accurate and what's not, and then we can jump right into the numbers. In terms of game selection, I leaned heavily on conference games, Bowl games, and CFP games while eschewing most lopsided matchups. In other words, I think Arch Manning's tape vs. Georgia offers a more relevant insight than his tape vs. Sam Houston State could offer. As for the throws themselves, I'll say at the outset that WR miscommunications, balls batted at the LOS, and throwaways are totally left out of the dataset. Other than that, we have what you might expect: an accurate ball dropped by the receiver is still counted as accurate, and an inaccurate ball where the receiver contorts and adjusts and manages to haul it in is counted against the QB. The area where there is the most room for opinion lies in the fact I have "ball placement" as a separate category from pure accuracy. For example, if the QB puts the ball on the rear shoulder of a receiver running a crosser, that'll still be counted as accurate, but it's worth noting that he'll be dinged for ball placement when looking at his comprehensive scouting report. This changes a bit when there's a DB right on the receiver's hip; if that same slightly misplaced ball allows the DB to get his hands on it, that is marked down as an inaccurate ball. All-in-all, there is some situational wiggle room, but the general rule of thumb that a friendly, reasonably catchable ball is considered accurate, and anything else is inaccurate, and leniency with what's considered "reasonably catchable" changes depending on how tight the coverage is and what shoulder the ball needs to be placed on.
With that said, let's get into the charting. It's worth noting this is purely 2025 season games, and a separate article will be made that documents how accurate these same QBs are as the 2026 season progresses.